Hi ZS, assuming that whether or one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in either case?) is independent from winning or losing on any other scratch ticket, you treat each event as a separate event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent ordeals. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the possibilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after the other (if it is precisely what your problem is asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately 5.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 coming from 10 million, which depends upon 1 chance out of 192,307.

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